At some stage in a thursday dialogue on Human Events Each day, host Jack Posobiec and historical Marine and ballistics professional Tom Sauer pushed help on speculation surrounding the forensic evidence within the assassination of Charlie Kirk, in particular claims suggesting the possibility of but another shooter.
Sauer disregarded that view outright, bringing up, “It’s subsequent to very unlikely. I mean, was as soon as there but another shooter true feet away who fired the correct same get of spherical and that Tyler Robinson was as soon as a patsy or one thing? No, but true esteem the easy forensics and the ballistics picture, I mean, that’s ample true there.” The feedback reach as court docket filings and forensic reviews bask in indicated that whereas bullet fragments recovered from the scene were too broken for a conclusive match, other evidence—in conjunction with casing fits and DNA—has tied Robinson to the weapon.
In conserving with Sauer, the get of discrepancy being raised by the protection does no longer align with how ballistic evidence in most cases behaves in real-world prerequisites.
“Glance, if it turns out that Robinson had a, , he had his .30-06, , rifle, a looking rifle, and then Charlie had been killed with a 9-millimeter pistol spherical, okay, that shall be some kind of doubt, I deliver, obviously might perchance perchance be, but then true simply no longer what came about,” Sauer acknowledged.
The fatal shooting happened in September 2025 at Utah Valley College, where Kirk was as soon as struck by a single rifle spherical fired from a distance for the interval of a public match. Posobiec pressed Sauer on whether ballistic testing can reliably reproduce identical results, asking if bullets continuously behave consistently when fired below identical prerequisites.
Sauer acknowledged they manufacture no longer. “No, it is by no reach consistent,” Sauer defined. “There’s so many variables whenever you web yourself facing a fragment of steel or lead that’s going… immediate at a great deal of prerequisites… it is miles no longer any longer every bullet is completely uniform the overall time.” He persisted, noting that exterior factors similar to wind, angle of impact, and discipline matter resistance can all affect a projectile’s behavior. “When rounds impact things, they manufacture very unfamiliar things in a capability that’s no longer scientifically predictable.”
Summing up the view that in less complicated terms, Sauer added, “Bullets manufacture uncommon things. Bullets manufacture uncommon things.” The dialogue also addressed fragmentation, a key venture within the case after reviews indicated the recovered bullet was as soon as heavily broken upon impact. Sauer acknowledged that final result’s in conserving with the employ of a high-powered rifle similar to a .30-06.
“And so the inspiration that, that, , on this case that it did fragment… is that one thing that you just would ogle as in conserving with the firing of a .30-06? Yeah, fully. A hundred percent,” he acknowledged.
